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波音预测2035年全球需150万名飞行员和维修技师

第一财经 2016-07-26 16:22:00

责编:陈南杉

波音官方网站发布了2016年版《飞行员和维修技师展望》,预测全世界未来20年将需要近150万名民航飞行员和维修技师。

7月25日,波音官方网站发布了2016年版《飞行员和维修技师展望》,预测全世界未来20年将需要近150万名飞行员和维修技师。

波音预测在2016-2035年期间,全球民用航空业需要约:

- 61.7万名新民航飞行员

- 67.9万名新民航维修技师

- 81.4万名新空乘人员

该《展望》预测,飞行员需求将继续增长,与2015年版《展望》相比增加了10.5%。对于维修技师,需求则增长了约11.3%。新飞行员需求的增长主要受新飞机交付以及飞机数量和类型的影响,而新维修技师的需求主要受机队规模增长的驱动。全球每年将需求3.1万名新飞行员、3.5万名新维修技师和4万名空乘人员。

按照地区划分,未来20年对新飞行员、维修技师和空乘人员的需求分别为:

- 亚太地区——24.8万名飞行员、26.8万名维修技师、29.8万名空乘人员

- 欧洲——10.4万名飞行员、11.8万名维修技师、16.9万名空乘人员

- 北美——11.2万名飞行员、12.7万名维修技师、15.1万名空乘人员

- 拉美地区——5.1万名飞行员、5万名维修技师、5.1万名空乘人员

- 中东地区——5.8万名飞行员、6.6万名维修技师、9.2万名空乘人员

- 非洲——2.2万名飞行员、2.4万名维修技师、2.7万名空乘人员

- 俄罗斯/独联体——2.2万名飞行员、2.6万名维修技师、2.6万名空乘人员

附波音官方网站原文:

Boeing Forecasts Nearly 1.5 Million Pilots and Technicians Needed by 2035

OSHKOSH, Wis., July 25, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Boeing (NYSE: BA) released its 2016 Pilot and Technician Outlook today at EAA AirVenture Oshkosh and projects a demand for nearly 1.5 million pilots and technicians over the next 20 years.

In its seventh year, the outlook is a respected industry study which forecasts the 20 year demand for crews to support the world's growing commercial airplane fleet. New this year is a look at cabin crew demand.

Boeing forecasts that between 2016 and 2035, the world's commercial aviation industry will require approximately:

617,000 new commercial airline pilots

679,000 new commercial airline maintenance technicians

814,000 new cabin crew

The 2016 outlook shows a growth of 10.5 percent for pilots over the 2015 outlook and 11.3 percent for maintenance technicians. New pilot demand is primarily driven by new airplane deliveries and fleet mix, while new technician demand is primarily driven by fleet growth.

"The Pilot and Technician Outlook has become a resource for the industry to determine demand for successful airline operations" said Sherry Carbary, vice president, Boeing Flight Services. "Cabin crew are an integral part of operating an airline, and while Boeing does not train cabin crew like pilots and technicians, we believe the industry can use these numbers for planning purposes."

The outlook represents a global requirement for about 31,000 new pilots, 35,000 new technicians and 40,000 cabin crew annually. Projected demand for new pilots, technicians and cabin crew by global region for the next 20 years is approximately:

The Asia-Pacific region comprises 40 percent of the global need due to the growth in the single-aisle market which is driven by low-cost carriers, while North America is the result of new markets opening in Cuba and Mexico, and demand in Europe has increased as a response to a strong intra-European Union market.

Forward-Looking Information Is Subject to Risk and Uncertainty

Certain statements in this release may be "forward-looking" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "expects," "forecasts," "projects," "plans," "believes," "estimates" and similar expressions are used to identify these forward-looking statements. Examples of forward-looking statements include statements relating to our future plans, business prospects, financial condition and operating results, as well as any other statement that does not directly relate to any historical or current fact. Forward-looking statements are based on current assumptions about future events that may not prove to be accurate. These statements are not guarantees and are subject to risks, uncertainties and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict.

Many factors could cause actual events to differ materially from these forward-looking statements, including economic conditions in the United States and globally, general industry conditions as they may impact us or our customers, and other important factors disclosed previously and from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any such statement, except as required by law.

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